Ward 31 : Suarez Near 50%
Santiago Working Hard to Defeat Berrios Ally
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack, Tuesday, February 17, 2015 for Alderman of the 31st Ward with 297 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
|Regner "Ray" Suarez||148||49.8%|
|Milagros "Milly" Santiago||95||32.0%|
ANALYSISDefeating an incumbent in Chicago is difficult, but having the help of a Congressman helps. After Joe
Berrios and Luis Gutierrez had a falling out, the later has helped candidates running against Berrios
allies. If Gutierrez and State Rep. Guzzardi can help Milly Santiago bring Suarez under the 50% mark,
they can re-group for a runoff. There are two big problems for Santiago; name recognition and money.
Suarez has been in City Council since 1991 and has over a $1 million campaign fund. This is one to watch
on election night.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race.
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
Respondents by Gender
Respondents by Age
|Age 18 - 30||50||16.8%|
|Age 31 - 45||89||30.0%|
|Age 46 - 64||102||34.3%|
|Age 65 plus||56||18.9%|
Respondents by Zipcode