Ward 37: Mitt's Safe

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Ward 37 : Mitt's Safe

Mitt's Easily Outdistancing Opponents

CHICAGO, IL -­ Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack, Sunday, February 15, 2015 for Alderman of the 37th Ward with 365 respondents. 

Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. 

Leroy Duncan 29 7.9%
Emma Mitts 202 55.3%
Maretta Brown-Miller 48 13.2%
Tara Stamps 86 23.6%
 Margin of Error +/-­ 5.23% at 95% Confidence Interval

 

ANALYSIS

Emma Mitts is on path to her third-term as Alderman of the 37th Ward. Two-term incumbents are difficult to beat. If this race goes to a runoff, Tara Stamps will be the opponent.

Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race

 

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections. 

 

CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender

Male 140 38.4%
Female 225 47.3%
 

Respondents by Age

Age 18 - 30 49 13.4%
Age 31 - 45 93 25.5%
Age 46 - 64 129 35.3%
Age 65 plus 94 25.8%
 

Respondents by Zipcode

60624 Count 5
60639 Count 52
60644 Count 80
60651 Count 228