Ward 46 : Cappleman Safe
Strong Lead Should Avoid Runoff
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack, Friday, February 13, 2015 for Alderman of the 46th Ward with 433 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
Incumbent Alderman James Cappleman has both a 25-point lead and an outright majority. Unseating an incumbent in Chicago usually requires both money and a catalyst, both seem lacking for Crawford.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race.
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
Respondents by Gender
Respondents by Age
|Age 18 - 30||32||7.4%|
|Age 31 - 45||150||34.6%|
|Age 46 - 64||139||32.1%|
|Age 65 plus||112||25.9%|
Respondents by Zipcode