Ward 41: O'Connor Safe

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Ward 41 : O'Connor Safe

Strong Lead Should Avoid Runoff

CHICAGO, IL -­ Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack, Thursday, February 12, 2015 for Alderman of the 41st Ward with 584 respondents. 

Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. 

Mary O'Connor 350 59.9%
Joe Lomanto 60 10.3%
Anthony Napolitano 174 29.8%
 Margin of Error +/-­ 4.14% at 95% Confidence Interval

 

ANALYSIS

Incumbent Mary O’Connor has kept out of controversy during her first-term and she will be rewarded with a second-term. Napolitano has made a respectable showing, but not enough.

Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race

 

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections. 

 

CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender

Male 268 45.9%
Female 316 54.1%
 

Respondents by Age

Age 18 - 30 51 8.7%
Age 31 - 45 160 27.4%
Age 46 - 64 199 34.1%
Age 65 plus 173 29.7%
 

Respondents by Zipcode

60631 Count 351
60634 Count 2
60646 Count 77
60656 Count 154