Ward 2: Hopkins Emerging

image

Ward 2 : Hopkins Emerging

Politically connected starting to separate from field

CHICAGO, IL -­ Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack, Monday, February 10, 2015 for Alderman of the 2nd Ward with 294 respondents. 

Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. 

Brian Hopkins 110 37.4%
Alyx Pattison 59 20.1%
Bita Buenrostro 40 13.6%
Stephen Niketopoulos 39 13.3%
Stacey Pfingsten 29 9.9%
Cornell Wilson 17 5.4%
 Margin of Error +/-­ 5.83% at 95% Confidence Interval

 

ANALYSIS

Politically connected Brian Hopkins is starting to emerge as the leader in the gerrymandered 2nd Ward. Hopkins has an impressive list of political endorsements. Alyx Pattison, who has an equally impressive list of endorsements, is also starting to emerge as Hopkins runoff opponent.

Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race

 

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections. 

 

CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender

Male 143 48.6%
Female 151 62.4%
 

Respondents by Age

Age 18 - 30 20 6.8%
Age 31 - 45 73 24.8%
Age 46 - 64 76 25.9%
Age 65 plus 125 42.5%
 

Respondents by Zipcode

60610 Count 108
60611 Count 64
60614 Count 35
60622 Count 72
60642 Count 9
60647 Count 2
60654 Count 4