Ward 10: Pope Dominating
Six Opponents Not Gaining Traction
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack Thursday, February 5, 2015 for 10th Ward Alderman with 272 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
|Susan Sadlowski Garza||34||12.5%|
|Richard Martinez, Jr.||19||7.0%|
Margin of Error +/- 6.06% at 95% Confidence Interval
Despite being a difficult ward to poll (note high Margin of Error), the power of incumbency in Chicago is on full display in the 10th ward. Three-term Alderman John Pope is likely to win outright in the February 24th municipal election. At least one of his six opponents is going to need to catch fire soon if they hope to keep him under the 50% +1.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race.
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
Respondents by Gender
Respondents by Age
|Age 18 - 30||28||10.3%|
|Age 31 - 45||79||29.0%|
|Age 46 - 64||93||34.2%|
|Age 65 plus||72||23.4%|
Respondents by Zipcode